{"id":13072,"date":"2026-10-09T22:37:20","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T22:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/?p=13072"},"modified":"2026-10-13T16:42:55","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T16:42:55","slug":"coffee-market-report-september-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/coffee-market-report-september-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Coffee Market Report \u2013 September 2026: Prices Fall as Supply and Global Exports Rise"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The global coffee market recorded a notable decline in prices during September 2026 as increased Brazilian supply reached the market while international coffee trade continued to expand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the International Coffee Organization\u2019s September 2026 Coffee Market Report, the ICO Composite Indicator Price averaged <strong>262.18 US cents\/lb<\/strong>, down <strong>8.7% from August 2026<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The decline was largely associated with increased availability from Brazil\u2019s harvest and expectations of stronger supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, global green coffee exports reached <strong>10.94 million 60-kg bags in August 2026<\/strong>, an increase of <strong>15.6% compared with August 2025<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coffee Prices in September 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">All four major ICO group indicators declined during September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Colombian Milds<\/strong> averaged <strong>356.15 US cents\/lb<\/strong>, down 8.1%, while <strong>Other Milds<\/strong> averaged <strong>329.44 US cents\/lb<\/strong>, down 8.8%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Brazilian Naturals<\/strong> fell 9.9% to <strong>290.19 US cents\/lb<\/strong>, while <strong>Robustas<\/strong> declined 7.3% to <strong>167.49 US cents\/lb<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I-CIP volatility also declined to <strong>10.0%<\/strong> in September from 13.7% in August, indicating a relatively calmer month for coffee prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">New York and London Futures Prices and Arbitrage<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the revised September 2026 Coffee Market Report published by the International Coffee Organization (ICO), New York Arabica futures averaged 280.68 US cents\/lb, declining 10.4% from August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">London Robusta futures averaged 154.28 US cents\/lb, down 8.0% over the same period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The New York\u2013London futures price differential narrowed by 13.2% to 126.40 US cents\/lb, compared with 145.60 US cents\/lb in August 2026.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The narrowing differential reflects a sharper decline in Arabica futures prices relative to Robusta during September, alongside increased Brazilian coffee supply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Revision note:<\/strong> This article incorporates the revised ICO September 2026 figures for New York and London futures prices, their monthly changes, and the New York\u2013London price differential.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Pressured Coffee Prices?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Increased Brazilian supply was one of the main bearish factors affecting the market during September.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The report also points to an estimated global surplus for coffee year 2025\/26 following several years of deficit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Global production for coffee year 2025\/26 is estimated at <strong>183.6 million 60-kg bags<\/strong>, compared with global consumption of approximately <strong>180.6 million bags<\/strong>, implying a surplus of around <strong>3 million bags<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">However, the market continues to face upside risks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Low certified Arabica stocks, weather uncertainty and risks linked to El Ni\u00f1o continued to provide some support to prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Global Green Coffee Exports Rise 15.6%<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Global green bean exports reached <strong>10.94 million bags in August 2026<\/strong>, compared with 9.46 million bags in August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Robusta was the largest contributor to the increase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Robusta exports<\/strong> increased <strong>22.4%<\/strong> to 4.36 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Brazilian Naturals<\/strong> increased <strong>21.3%<\/strong> to 3.57 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Other Milds<\/strong> increased <strong>6.6%<\/strong> to 1.91 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Meanwhile, <strong>Colombian Milds declined 5.6%<\/strong> to 1.09 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Robusta Continues to Gain Share<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Total Arabica exports reached <strong>6.58 million bags in August 2026<\/strong>, up 11.6% year on year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite this increase, Arabica\u2019s share of cumulative green bean exports during the first 11 months of coffee year 2025\/26 declined to <strong>59.6%<\/strong>, compared with 63.5% during the same period a year earlier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">According to the ICO report, this marked the first time Arabica\u2019s share had fallen below 60% during the first 11 months of a coffee year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Robusta\u2019s estimated share of global coffee production also increased to <strong>43.1% in coffee year 2025\/26<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Coffee Exports by Region<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Global exports of all forms of coffee increased <strong>14.6%<\/strong> to <strong>12.55 million bags in August 2026<\/strong>, compared with 10.95 million bags in August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Regional performance was mixed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Asia &amp; Oceania:<\/strong> exports increased 23.1% to 4.03 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>South America:<\/strong> exports increased 20.2% to 5.98 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Africa:<\/strong> exports declined 1.8% to 1.74 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Caribbean, Mexico &amp; Central America:<\/strong> exports declined 14.3% to 0.79 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Brazil and Viet Nam Drive Export Growth<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brazil and Viet Nam were among the strongest drivers of coffee export growth during the period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viet Nam\u2019s Robusta exports increased <strong>69.2%<\/strong> to <strong>1.78 million bags<\/strong> in August 2026, while Brazil\u2019s Robusta exports increased <strong>54.9%<\/strong> to <strong>0.96 million bags<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viet Nam\u2019s exports of all forms of coffee increased <strong>48.0%<\/strong> to 2.24 million bags, while Brazil\u2019s total coffee exports increased <strong>34.5%<\/strong> to 4.28 million bags.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Soluble Coffee Exports<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Exports of soluble coffee increased <strong>8.1% to 1.56 million bags<\/strong> in August 2026, compared with 1.44 million bags in August 2025.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Viet Nam was the largest exporter of soluble coffee during the month, shipping approximately <strong>0.43 million bags<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Cofdar Market Read<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">September\u2019s data indicates that improving supply availability is becoming an increasingly important factor in the global coffee market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After an extended period dominated by concerns around production and inventories, fresh Brazilian supply has started to exert downward pressure on prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the same time, Robusta continues to strengthen its position in global coffee trade, supported by strong export growth from Viet Nam and Brazil and a declining Arabica share of cumulative green bean exports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lower prices, however, do not mean that market risks have disappeared. Tight certified Arabica stocks, weather uncertainty and continued shifts in production and trade flows may still generate renewed volatility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">For buyers and suppliers, understanding the market requires more than following daily prices. Export flows, production, consumption, origin performance and changes in global trade patterns all contribute to a clearer commercial view of the market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Explore Global Coffee Market Data<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/cofdar-coffee-intelligence\/\" data-type=\"page\" data-id=\"12909\">Cofdar Coffee Intelligence<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Source<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>International Coffee Organization \u2013 ICO<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Coffee Market Report \u2013 September 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This report was prepared by Cofdar based on data and information published in the International Coffee Organization\u2019s September 2026 Coffee Market Report.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Global coffee prices declined in September 2026 as Brazilian supply increased, while green coffee exports rose 15.6% year on year. Explore the latest market data and Cofdar analysis.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13064,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_rtcl_gb_attr":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1799],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-13072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets-reports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13072","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13072"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13072\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13291,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13072\/revisions\/13291"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13064"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/cofdar.com\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}